Exploring psychology (7th Edition in Modules) David Myers



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Module 2

Research Strategies: How Psychologists Ask and Answer Questions

Research Strategies: How Psychologists Ask and Answer Questions The Need for Psychological Science What About Intuition and Common Sense?

2-1: HOW DOES OUR EVERYDAY THINKING SOMETIMES LEAD US TO A WRONG CONCLUSION?

    • Hindsight bias, overconfidence, and our tendency to perceive patterns in random events illustrate why we cannot rely solely on intuition and common sense.
    • Scientific inquiry can help us sift reality from illusion.

The Need for Psychological Science: Did We Know It All Along? Hindsight Bias

HINDSIGHT BIAS  When drilling the Deepwater Horizon oil well in 2010, oil industry employees took some shortcuts and ignored some warning signs, without intending to harm any people, the environment, or their company’s reputation.

After the resulting Gulf oil spill, with the benefit of 20/20 hindsight, the foolishness of those judgments became obvious.




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